ABSTRACT
Purpose: The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic was declared a global public health emergency. Determinants of mortality in the general population are now clear, but specific data on patients with breast cancer (BC) remain limited, particularly in developing nations. Material(s) and Method(s): We conducted a longitudinal, multicenter cohort study in patients with BC and confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary end point was the proportion of patients on treatment for severe SARS-CoV-2 infection (defined as need for hospitalization) or early death (within 30 days of diagnosis). Data were evaluated sequentially in the following way: i) univariate Fisher's exact test;ii) multivariable logistic regression analysis;and iii) multivariable logistic regression. In items i and ii only those with P< 0.1 are considered significant and in stage iii only those with p< 0.05 were the final significant variables. We divided patients' data into three major variable domains: a) signs and symptoms;b) comorbidities;and c) tumor and treatment characteristics;in item ii each variable domain was tested separately, finally, in item iii the significant variables of all domains were tested together and we called it the integrative step. Result(s): From April 2020 to June 2021, 413 patients with BC and COVID-19 were retrospectively registered, of which 288 (70%) had an identified molecular subtype and 273 (66%) had stage information. Most patients were on active systemic therapy or radiotherapy (73.2%), most of them in the curative setting (69.5%). The overall rate of severe SARS-CoV-2 was 19.7% (95% CI, 15.3-25.1). In the integrative multivariate analysis, factors associated with severe infection were metastatic setting, chronic pain, acute dyspnea, and cardiovascular comorbidities. Recursive partitioning modeling used acute dyspnea, metastatic setting, and cardiovascular comorbidities to predict nonprogression to severe infection, yielding a negative predictive value of 84.9% (95% CI, 78.9%-88.3%). Conclusion(s): The rate of severe COVID-19 in patients with BC is influenced by prognostic factors that partially overlap with those reported in the general population. High-risk patients should be considered candidates to active preventive measures to reduce the risk of infection, close monitoring in the case of exposure or SARS-CoV-2 -related symptoms and prophylactic treatment once infected.
ABSTRACT
Background: As a reaction to the COVID-19 pandemic, a nation-wide lockdown was enforced in Brazil in March 2020, cancer care was impacted, and cancer screening reduced. Therefore, an increase in cancer diagnoses at more advanced stages was expected. In this study, we extracted data from our nationwide real-world database to evaluate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the stage at diagnosis of breast cancer (BC) cases. Methods: We explored curated electronic medical record data of female patients, over 18 years of age, diagnosed with BC and with established disease stage based on the AJCC 8th edition, who started treatment or follow-up in the Oncoclínicas (OC) between Jan 1, 2018, and Dec 31, 2021. The primary objective was to compare stage distribution at first visit during COVID- 19 pandemic (2020-2021) with a historical control cohort from a period prior to the pandemic (2018- 2019). We investigated stage distribution according to age at diagnosis and tumor ER/HER2 subtype in univariate models. Associations were considered significant if they had a minimum significance (P < 0.1 in Chi-square test). The historical numbers of patients with BC at OC make it possible to identify differences in the prevalence of stages in the order of 5% comparing pre and post pandemic periods with a statistical power greater than 80%. Results: We collected data for 11,752 patients with initial diagnosis of BC, with 6,492 patients belonging to the pandemic (2020-2021) and 5,260 patients to the pre-pandemic period (2018-2019). For both ER+/ HER2- and HER2+ tumors, there was a lower percentage of patients with early-stage (defined as stage I-II) in the years 2020-2021 vs 2018-2019 and a considerable increase in advanced-stage disease (defined as stage IV). For triple negative BC (TNBC), there was a significant higher percentage of patients with advanced-stage disease in the pandemic vs pre-pandemic period (table 1). Age over 50 years was associated with a greater risk of advanced stage at diagnosis after the onset of the pandemic, with an absolute increase of 7% (P twosided <0.01). Conclusions: We observed a substantial increase in cases of advanced-stage BC in OC institutions as a result of delays in BC diagnoses due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The impact appeared greater in older adults, potentially because of stricter confinement in this group.